Use apps like Libby or OverDrive to borrow the ebook for free legally.
Imagine a successful future and work backward to identify the specific steps that led there.
Overall, "Thinking in Bets" is a thought-provoking book that challenges readers to rethink their approach to decision-making. By embracing a "thinking in bets" mindset, individuals can navigate life's uncertainties with greater confidence and make more informed choices.
How will I feel about this decision in 10 minutes? 10 months? 10 years? This helps detach your emotions from the immediate outcome.
What are you currently trying to make? (e.g., career move, investment, business strategy)
Navigating Uncertainty: Why You Should Read Annie Duke's "Thinking in Bets"
When the Seattle Seahawks called for a pass play in the final seconds of Super Bowl XLIX, resulting in a game-losing interception, critics immediately labeled it the worst play call in history. But Duke uses this case study to demonstrate "resulting"—our dangerous habit of judging a decision solely by its outcome. She reveals that the pass call had only a 2% chance of interception. In poker terms, it was a +EV (positive expected value) bet that simply had a bad result. The decision itself wasn't the mistake; the outcome was.
: The most direct way is to purchase the official e-book. The book is available for purchase in PDF format from:
Because we are inherently biased toward the present, Duke offers practical "time travel" exercises to help us make better decisions about the future: 1. Backcasting
Imagine a future where you failed. Work backward to figure out why it happened. This allows you to spot risks before they become reality.
Use apps like Libby or OverDrive to borrow the ebook for free legally.
Imagine a successful future and work backward to identify the specific steps that led there.
Overall, "Thinking in Bets" is a thought-provoking book that challenges readers to rethink their approach to decision-making. By embracing a "thinking in bets" mindset, individuals can navigate life's uncertainties with greater confidence and make more informed choices. thinking in bets annie duke pdf link
How will I feel about this decision in 10 minutes? 10 months? 10 years? This helps detach your emotions from the immediate outcome.
What are you currently trying to make? (e.g., career move, investment, business strategy) Use apps like Libby or OverDrive to borrow
Navigating Uncertainty: Why You Should Read Annie Duke's "Thinking in Bets"
When the Seattle Seahawks called for a pass play in the final seconds of Super Bowl XLIX, resulting in a game-losing interception, critics immediately labeled it the worst play call in history. But Duke uses this case study to demonstrate "resulting"—our dangerous habit of judging a decision solely by its outcome. She reveals that the pass call had only a 2% chance of interception. In poker terms, it was a +EV (positive expected value) bet that simply had a bad result. The decision itself wasn't the mistake; the outcome was. By embracing a "thinking in bets" mindset, individuals
: The most direct way is to purchase the official e-book. The book is available for purchase in PDF format from:
Because we are inherently biased toward the present, Duke offers practical "time travel" exercises to help us make better decisions about the future: 1. Backcasting
Imagine a future where you failed. Work backward to figure out why it happened. This allows you to spot risks before they become reality.